A tropical disturbance or tropical wave will travel westward across the Caribbean Sea and cause drenching showers and thunderstorms over the islands this week.
This feature, which is sometimes the precursor to tropical depressions and storms, is not expected to develop over the next couple of days due to wind shear and proximity to land. However, that may not be the case later this week.The feature will bring the risk of flash flooding and dangerous squalls for beach and small craft interests.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with the feature will spread westward from the Leeward Islands on Monday to Puerto Rico from late Monday to Wednesday.As the feature continues to move in a west-to-northwest path, showers and thunderstorms will pulse across Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas at midweek.When the feature enters the waters east of Florida and around the central Bahamas, conditions may change enough to allow for slow organization and strengthening.
At this time, there is a 20% chance of the feature developing into a tropical depression later this week.If a tropical depression or storm were to form, there is no guarantee the system would reach the mainland of the United States.It is possible the system takes a curved path over the western Atlantic and then heads out to sea later next week.
Interests in the northern Caribbean, the Bahamas and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of the feature in the coming days.
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accu weather