Arthur heads out to sea North Carolina coast#US#Arthur update

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Arthur_update

Arthur, the first named tropical system of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, passed very close to the North Carolina coast on Monday, two days after developing into a tropical depression about 125 miles off Melbourne, Florida.As of 5 a.m. EDT Tuesday, the center of Arthur was moving away from North Carolina at a speed of 15 mph, a substantial increase from its plodding forward thrust of 7-8 mph on Sunday. The storm’s sustained winds remained around 60 mph, up from 50 at the National Hurricane Center’s 5 p.m. Monday advisory. Earlier Monday, Arthur’s center was only a mere 20 miles from the easternmost part of the Outer Banks. As of early Tuesday morning, Arthur’s center was about 300 miles from that same point.

The storm was unleashing heavy rain and gusty winds across the eastern part of the state while also generating dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Wind gusts near 50 mph with waves up to 12.5 feet were reported, according to data provided from a buoy located southeast of Cape Hatteras.The peak wind gust in North Carolina from Arthur was 49 mph at Diamond Shoals, located near Cape Hatteras. The highest rainfall amount through 8 a.m. Tuesday was 4.92 inches in Newport, North Carolina.A tropical storm warning was issued Sunday and remained in effect for parts of the North Carolina coast on Monday including for the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds and Ocracoke Inlet to Duck, North Carolina.
A compilation of webcam footage from Monday showed wind-whipped rain and turbulent seas in the area, far from anyone’s idea of an ideal day at the beach.
AccuWeather’s top hurricane forecaster, Dan Kottlowski, said that although Arthur remains a weak tropical storm, it will continue to generate a large area of moderate to heavy rain over eastern North Carolina. Rain first moved into the area Sunday night.”Rainfall totals will average 2-4 inches over this area, including across the Outer Banks. Locally higher amounts are possible where heavy rain is the most persistent, with  Local for rainfall of 6 inches.

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Any storm surge and inundation with Arthur will be less than 3 feet with the highest water rise related to the inlet areas within Pamlico and Albemarle sounds, Kottlowski added.One area in particular forecasters are worried about is Ocracoke Island, which suffered extensive damage from Hurricane Dorian back in September. Storm surge over Ocracoke could bring another threat of flooding and damage, hindering any ongoing recovery efforts for the island.
On Sunday, North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper urged residents to pay close attention to the first significant tropical threat of the season.“Everyone in our coastal areas should remain aware and cautious as Arthur brushes our coast on Monday,” said Cooper. “Pay close attention to the forecast, and don’t take chances in dangerous surf.”Rough surf and strong rip currents battered the coastal Carolinas through Monday. Dangerous marine conditions also occurred, with seas building to 8-10 feet, creating treacherous conditions for mariners.

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The rating for Arthur on the  RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes will be less than one.”Rough seas and gusty winds will expand northward to the upper mid-Atlantic coast through Tuesday as the storm drifts eastward and perhaps stalls over the open water,” Meteorologist.

 

Reference-accu weather

 

Recent climate

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By JC

Consultation on Climate Change & Risk Management