recent_climate_india
recent_climate_india

While Kyarr is gradually weakening over the western Arabian Sea, the focus will shift to a new tropical feature near southwestern India as Diwali celebrations wind down.A tropical disturbance just south of India became more organized and was classified as a depression on Wednesday. The depression strengthened to become Cyclonic Storm Maha on Wednesday night.
“This new named system means this is the first time there were back-to-back named cyclones in the Arabian Sea since Chapala and Megh in 2015,” AccuWeather Lead International Meteorologist Jason Nicholls observed.”This is only the second time in history that this has occurred,” he added.
Further strengthening is expected as Maha moves into a favorable area of warm water and low wind shear. Maha is likely to reach very severe cyclonic storm status in the coming days, with wind speeds of at least 119 km/h (74 mph).
Similar to Kyarr, this storm is not expected to make landfall in western India but follow a path largely parallel to the coast. This will keep most of the strongest winds away from land. However, depending on how close the storm tracks, periods of heavy rain and gusty winds could reach to western shores of southern India, regardless of how strong Maha gets.
After Maha already brought locally heavy downpours to Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Kerala as well as Sri Lanka, as early as Tuesday, more waves of heavy rain are possible through Friday.

recent_climate_india
recent_climate_india

Much of this area received heavy rain from Kyarr, so any period additional heavy rain from this next system can increase the risk of flooding. Rough surf and coastal flooding concerns will return to the west India coast through the end of the week. Maha is forecast to continue tracking just off the coast through the end of the week with some potential for more strengthening. Into the beginning of the weekend, the system may begin to turn to the west and track across the Arabian Sea, still following in the footsteps of Kyarr.

 meteorologists still caution that there is some uncertainty regarding the future of this system’s path, it looks like the tropical disturbance will traverse the Arabian sea into the middle of next week. Once again the residents of Oman and Yemen should monitor this system as it could bring rain and gusty winds to the area for the middle or end of next week. Elsewhere in central and southern India, spotty showers and thunderstorms will develop each day as we approach the end of Diwali celebrations. While it will not rain the entire day, residents should be prepared for a brief downpour on any given day.

 

reference:- Accu weather

By JC

Consultation on Climate Change & Risk Management