Summer 2020 is just about a month away, and Europeans are already flocking to seaside escapes, parks and cafes as conditions warm up after weeks of being pent up during coronavirus lockdown measures. meteorologists released their annual Europe summer forecast this week, painting a picture for what Mother Nature has in store across the continent — even when it’s not clear exactly what daily life will look like for millions of people as countries start to ease up on COVID-19 restrictions.
AccuWeather’s team of seasonal shift. Nicholls has been with the company for 26 years and has been focused on Europe weather forecasts for the last two decades. Summer officially begins on June 20, and for some, the season will bring intense heat, while others will need to brace for the risk of severe storms and even wildfires.
There are two big things that are playing a role in the forecast: the very wet March and April across much of Iberia and the dry weather from southern parts of the United Kingdom through Ukraine,” AccuWeather Meteorologist Tyler Roys said.Regardless of what events and gatherings are able to go on and what holidays look like this season, AccuWeather has you covered in a region-by-region breakdown below.
Many people across the Iberian Peninsula have stayed indoors in recent months, not only because of lockdowns related to the coronavirus, but also due to the rain that has frequented the region. Some areas recorded double their normal rainfall during April.The unusually wet pattern that has soaked Spain and Portugal throughout the spring is getting ready to break and will give way to typical summer weather.“It will largely be hot across much of Spain and Portugal and mainly dry, but there will still be the traditional summertime thunderstorms that will pop up on an occasion, mainly in the mountainous regions,” metrologist said.However, the spring rains could have implications during the second half of the summer. “The wet end of winter and spring for Iberia is a blessing and a curse,” Roys said.
One of the benefits of the recent rain is that it has helped to fill water reservoirs across the region. Additionally, fewer tourists during the coronavirus pandemic have helped the area conserve water, allowing more water to be allocated to farmers across the region heading into the dry season, The Olive Press reported.However, the wet weather will allow more brush and vegetation to grow, which will eventually dry out in the summer heat.“[This] could make it into a more dangerous wildfire season with more fuel to work with,” Roys added.Hot and dry conditions will prevail across most of southern Europe in the coming months, bringing with it some concerns, especially for farmers.
“This could lead to temperatures in the upper 30s C and lower 40s C (98 F to 107 F) for parts of northern Italy and the valleys of the Balkans several times or for a prolonged period of time,” Roys said.This weather pattern may seem all too familiar for those across France and Germany when looking back at recent summers.
“This would be the third straight summer for parts of eastern France and western Germany to have drought conditions,” Roys said. “This, in turn, leads to low water levels for the Rhine River.”The low water levels could impact boats and ships that rely on the waterway for business.“I do not think they will see the issues they had in 2018 and 2019, but below-normal rainfall for most spots would keep the river down,” Alan Reppert, a senior forecaster who has been with AccuWeather for 17 years, said. Reppert has been focused on forecasting for Europe for the last 15 years.The dry conditions will arrive at a time when cruises that operate on the Rhine are preparing to start back up as restrictions related to COVID-19 are being loosened.
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