Pamela Hurricane Impact To Mexico
Pamela Hurricane Impact To Mexico

Pamela Hurricane Impact To Mexico

Pamela formed south of Mexico on Sunday evening, becoming the 16th named storm of the East Pacific hurricane season in 2021. Pamela had received a new label by Tuesday AM, becoming the season’s seventh East Pacific hurricane. By midweek, AccuWeather forecasters predict the storm to hit western Mexico as a major hurricane.

Pamela was about 280 miles southwest of Mazatlan, Mexico, as of 8 a.m. EDT Tuesday, and was traveling north at 13 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center. On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, Pamela had sustained winds of 80 mph and was a Category 1 hurricane.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued Hurricane Warnings and Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for areas of Mexico’s southwestern coast as well as parts of extreme southern Baja California Sur on Tuesday morning.

The storm was spinning along the coasts of Jalisco, Colima, and Michocán in Mexico, and it is expected to continue northwestward along the Mexican coast. Due to the steering environment, Pamela will most likely make a slow northeastward turn back toward Mexico.

Pamela became a hurricane early Tuesday morning (highest sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) and is expected to strengthen into a Category 3 major hurricane (greatest sustained winds of 111 mph) by Tuesday night. A major storm has sustained winds of 111 miles per hour (178 kilometers per hour) or more.

Pamela Hurricane Impact To Mexico
Pamela Hurricane Impact To Mexico

“Pamela will intensify over the next couple of days due to a mix of warm ocean waters and mild wind shear,” Meteorologist said .

Impacts from Pamela are expected to be felt as early as Tuesday evening, local time, along the shores of southern Baja California Sur and Sinaloa, according to meteorologists.

According to Meteorologist said, Hurricane Pamela will bring heavy rain and severe wind gusts as it approaches the coast before making landfall on Wednesday.

A few elements will influence the storm’s energy level when it hits the coast of western Mexico on Wednesday.

“Wind shear and interaction with land will likely lead Pamela to lose some wind intensity before landfall,” climate forecasters continued, “but Pamela is projected to be a Category 3 hurricane at landfall (maximum sustained speeds of 111-129 mph, or 178-208 km/h).”

Pamela will be a 3 on the climate forecasters Scale for Hurricanes in Mexico due to the danger of damaging winds and heavy rainfall.

Pamela will be the second significant hurricane of the year to make landfall in Mexico, but the first from the East Pacific basin, if it maintains Category 3 status.

Grace, which had earlier traveled through the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico, quickly strengthened into a Category 3 storm just before landfall in eastern Mexico in August. Tropical Storm Dolores, as well as hurricanes Nora and Olaf, have all made landfall in Mexico this tropical season.

The heaviest rain from Pamela is predicted to fall in the Mexican states of Sinaloa and Durango, where an climate forecaster of 16 inches (405 mm) is projected for sections of the region.

“Mudslides are likely to occur along the steeply sloped higher terrain, posing a serious threat to lives and property when combined with the possibility for flash flooding.” Travel will probably be hampered, with significant delays expected,” climate forecasters predicted.

The highest winds are predicted to wreak havoc on the Mexican shoreline as Pamela approaches on Wednesday night. Winds of 120-140 mph (200-225 km/h) are predicted, with some gusting to 145 mph (230 km/h) according to climate forecasters report.

As Pamela travels inland, the storm’s wind intensity is forecast to rapidly decrease as it passes over higher terrain. By Thursday, the Pamela will have changed to a tropical rainfall.

 

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By JC

Consultation on Climate Change & Risk Management