Philippines Tropical Storms
Tropical Storms Philippe and Rina continue their journey over the Atlantic Ocean, with steering winds likely preventing significant land impacts. However, there may be a slight brush with Philippe for the Leeward Islands. Wind shear is expected to hinder their intensity, potentially causing them to dip below tropical storm strength.
Philippe, previously affected by wind shear, is expected to move northward with sustained winds of 45 mph, potentially bringing showers, thunderstorms, and rough seas to the Leeward Islands. Puerto Rico is likely to be spared.
Tropical Storm Rina has also formed nearby, and their proximity could lead to interaction and interference, limiting their strengthening. The most likely scenario is for Rina to curve northward, away from the Lesser Antilles.
However, if Rina becomes stronger and reaches higher into the atmosphere, it may take a different path, potentially impacting the northeastern Caribbean. As we move into October and November, wind shear typically increases, but late-season tropical systems can still form.
This year, with the El Niño pattern in effect, wind shear may develop more rapidly, inhibiting tropical development. So far, the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season has seen 17 named storms, including one unnamed storm and Hurricane Lee, the strongest with sustained winds reaching 165 mph.”
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