TD 20 Tropical Depression Forms
The 2021 hurricane season’s newest tropical depression formed Wednesday morning over the eastern Atlantic, and meteorologists say it’s only a matter of time before it becomes a tropical storm.
This feature has been designated as Tropical Depression 20 with 19 depressions and named systems so far. Victor is the next name on the list of tropical storm names for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season.
Late Wednesday morning, Tropical Depression 20 was located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.
According to Meteorologist, conditions will be ideal for strengthening over the following few days, and the depression is projected to become Tropical Storm Victor later Wednesday.
“There will be a limited window for the storm to intensify into a hurricane,” Metrologist said. “However, increasing wind shear and drier air will likely revert this trend, with a gradual drop of wind intensity probable later this weekend into next week.” “As it stands now, this storm will not pose a direct threat to land,” the metrogist said, adding that inhabitants in the Azores should keep a close eye on the system’s progress. The National Hurricane Center classified the storm as a tropical depression since it developed sufficiently to produce sustained winds of 35 mph or more. Sustained winds of 39 mph are required for the system to be classified as a tropical storm.
Tropical Depression 20 is expected to develop south to southwest steering breezes over the central Atlantic, according to forecasters. From this weekend into next week, these breezes will twist the system northward across the east-central region of the basin, well away from the Caribbean Islands, Bermuda, and North America.
Forecasters have been keeping an eye on two regions of disturbed weather over the eastern Atlantic, one of which being the newly developed depression. Another area of disturbed weather, sometimes known as a tropical wave, a few hundred miles west of the depression and several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, appeared to be poorly organized as of Wednesday. Because of the lag in organization, this more western tropical wave may not develop into a tropical depression or storm.
Because this more western feature was more likely to reach the Leeward and Windward islands around the early or middle part of next week, the lack of development thus far is noteworthy for the Leeward and Windward islands. Increased wind shear near the Leewards and Windwards might completely disrupt the storm’s progression due to the delay in formation.
“In the aftermath of Hurricane Sam, a broad area of wind shear is expected to rise up this week and continue,” weather forecasters said. At mid-levels of the sky, stiff breezes will emerge and expand from the west and southwest. “This belt of wind shear will stretch from the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean to the central Atlantic, peaking this weekend,” Rayno said. Any tropical feature attempting to form or move into the band of wind shear will most likely fail.
Aside from Sam, what was formerly Peter appears to have missed its chance to rebuild on the other side of the Atlantic. The organization of a minor swirl of clouds southwest of Peter will be studied, but wind shear may preclude any significant evolution of the disturbance. Over the next week, the area stretching from the Caribbean to the Atlantic coasts of the United States might be a source of danger.
One or more regions of low pressure may develop from the Caribbean through the Bahamas, and maybe as far north as the Carolina coast next week, according to early indications. This broad area of low pressure has the potential to develop into a tropical system, so keep an eye on the area. Wind shear that persists or shifts may act as a hindrance to rapid development.
A zone stretching from just off the southeastern coast of the United States to the Bahamas could be the most likely location for a system to form.
“An expected southerly dip in the jet stream over the eastern United States might pick up any low pressure in the southwestern section of the Atlantic basin and guide it northward next week,” the metrologist added. However, if the jet stream does not pick up this low center, presuming it develops in the first place, prospects for tropical development could improve by the following weekend.
Regardless of tropical development in the southwestern Atlantic basin, a broad zone of unsettled weather conditions with clouds, rain, and thunderstorms from the Caribbean to the Bahamas, as well as the eastern United States and coastal seas, may emerge.
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