Tropical Threats Lurks
A swath of showers and thunderstorms northeast of the Bahamas is expected to develop into a tropical depression or storm in the coming days, according to experts. The storm, named 96L by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), is expected to make landfall in North Carolina on Thursday and Thursday night, bringing strong squalls and high surf along the coast.
Weather forecasters were drawn to the area of unstable weather during the weekend, and on Wednesday, they raised the danger of tropical development from medium to high. As a storm in the intermediate layer of the atmosphere spins down to the lower section of the troposphere, where tropical systems reside, more structure is probable.
On Wednesday morning, the showers and thunderstorms in the southern Atlantic were beginning to seem more organized, according to the meteorologist. As it becomes increasingly organized, the tropical problem zone will meander west-northwest at 10-15 mph through Wednesday. As the storm continues to be organized and strengthened, it may be steered more to the north-northeast as it hits the eastern half of North Carolina on Thursday and Friday.
“There will be west-southwest [wind] shear, so most of the rain and wind will be on the eastern side and maybe offshore,” Rayno said, adding that the Outer Banks of North Carolina could see tropical-storm-force wind gusts and heavy rain late Thursday into Friday.
There is no evidence that 96L will grow explosively in the near future, but a tropical depression or storm could form between Wednesday and Friday. The waters in this section of the Atlantic basin are warm enough, averaging in the 80s F. Water temperatures of 78 degrees or above are thought to be sufficient for the production of tropical depressions and the development of a tropical system.
Odette and Peter are the next two tropical storms on the list for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. Another tropical storm is brewing farther out in the Atlantic’s open waters, and it’ll be competing for the season’s next moniker. The NHC has labeled the powerful system as 95L, and it has a potential of developing into a tropical depression and storm over the eastern Atlantic in the near future.
According to Meteorologists, the projected course of 96L throughout the second half of this week and this weekend has a variety of scenarios. Due to the approach of a system in the western Atlantic as well as the approach of a cold front from the Midwest, weather meteorologists are projecting that some soaking rain may reach the Carolinas.
Nicholas’ wetness may also be implicated. Nicholas made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane over the upper Texas coast Monday night, and while it is expected to decrease wind strength as it moves further inland, it will still pose a flood risk as a tropical downpour over the Southern states in the coming days. Stormy conditions are expected to agitate Atlantic waters off the US East Coast later this week and this weekend, regardless of whether the new system under observation develops into a tropical storm.
From the Carolinas northward to southern New England, the increased wave activity is likely to result in rough surf and strong rip currents. Low-lying locations along the Atlantic coast that are prone to flooding during high tide may face issues as the system develops.
Beach, boating, cruise, and shipping industries should keep an eye on the situation as conditions in the western Atlantic between the United States, the Bahamas, and Bermuda may deteriorate during the middle and end of this week.
The tropical weather situation along the Atlantic coast and in more distant waters will continue to be updated by Weather.
Despite the fact that the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is still lagging behind the record-breaking 2020 season, it is still far ahead of the typical pace. An average hurricane season produces 14.4 named storms, of which 7.2 develop into hurricanes and 3.2 become major hurricanes, according to data from 1991 to 2020.
The season is almost halfway over, but there have already been 14 named tropical storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger) in 2021. The number of named storms and major hurricanes has already surpassed averages for the conclusion of the season. In contrast, the entire 2020 hurricane season saw 30 named storms, 14 hurricanes, and seven major hurricanes.
reference – accuweather
recentclimate – Tropical Threats Lurks,Tropical Threats Lurks News,Tropical Threats Lurks Update